☁ Polymarket weather desk // paper-trading scanner ☁

Weather Prop Bot

A professional risk-first worksheet for weather props, settlement rules, probability estimates, and paper-trade alerts.

Research / paper-trading tool only. Not financial advice. The website never asks for private keys and never places live orders.

ExchangePublic market review
Weather sourcesNWS / Open-Meteo
ExecutionPaper alerts only
BackendOffline calculator
Live tradingLocked

⚠ This tool does not guarantee profit.

⚠ Settlement depends on each market’s exact source, station, and timestamp rules.

⚠ Credentials belong only in a user-controlled local runner.

⚠ Treat every output as a review queue, not an order instruction.

Local backend

Runner Link

ConnectionOffline calculator
Bot modePaper worksheet
Latest scanNot run this session
Live modeLocked in browser

Optional: start weather-trader locally. This hosted page keeps working offline and never asks for credentials.

Paper portfolio

Backend Snapshot

Candidate trades0
Blocked trades0
Paper exposure$0.00
Open paper trades0
Candidate trades

Review Queue

No backend candidate trades loaded.
Blocked trades

Risk Blocks

No backend blocked trades loaded.
Recent decisions

Paper Log

Run a local paper scan to populate recent decisions.
Safety lock

Live Mode Locked

The browser dashboard can read local paper-mode status and decision logs only. It contains no private-key fields, no signing flow, and no live order code.

LOCAL_BACKEND_OPTIONAL=true BROWSER_LIVE_TRADING=false PRIVATE_KEY_INPUTS=false ORDERS_ALLOWED=false
Config bay

Market Scanner Setup

Risk rails

Limits

Paper bankroll$500
Max paper position$12.50
Minimum edge6.0 pts
Decision statusReady to evaluate
Target markets

Weather Props

Temperature Rainfall Snow Storm risk Settlement audits
Paper alert

Evaluation Output

Submit the scanner form to calculate risk-adjusted edge, capped paper size, and review notes.
    Architecture

    Local-first pipeline

    Public market data review Settlement-rule parser Weather source resolver Probability and uncertainty model Risk manager Paper alert / local-runner handoff
    Local runner boundary

    Credentials stay on your machine

    The hosted Ballzatram page is intentionally limited to configuration, monitoring, and paper-trade math. Authenticated exchange actions must live in a separate local process with explicit user approval, audit logging, and kill switches.

    WEBSITE_MODE=paper_only PRIVATE_KEYS_IN_BROWSER=false REQUIRE_LOCAL_CONFIRMATION=true MAX_POSITION_PCT=2.5
    Backtesting first

    Prove the log before the trade

    Version one should collect market snapshots, weather observations, model predictions, and final settlement results before any real order placement is considered.

    • Snapshot bid/ask prices, spread, liquidity, and timestamp.
    • Store observation station/source IDs and settlement-rule citations.
    • Compare risk-adjusted edge to final settlement and mark calibration error.
    • Keep live-trading controls outside the hosted browser surface.